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Market News: Indonesia's central bank has made triple intervention to maintain market confidence in the Indonesian rupiah.The transformation bull of China stock market is taking shape. The intraday volatility of A50ETF Huabao (159596) meets the layout window. On December 13th, the market fluctuated and adjusted in early trading. By midday, A50ETF Huabao (159596) fell by 2.13%, with a turnover of 69.36 million yuan. In terms of constituent stocks, the top ten awkward stocks are mixed. In terms of rising, Yangtze Power rose; In terms of decline, Zijin Mining led the decline. Guotai Junan believes that the positive change of decision-makers' attitude towards reversing the economic situation and supporting the capital market is an important cornerstone for revising long-term expectations and getting rid of "bear market thinking" and raising the bottom of the stock market. The reform of the capital market will improve shareholders' returns, and resolving debts, promoting reform and stabilizing asset prices are expected to constitute the new "three arrows" of China's economic development, and the transformation bull of China's stock market is taking shape.Sinotrans set up a new logistics development company in Chongqing with 100 million yuan. According to the enterprise search APP, Sinotrans Southwest (Chongqing) Logistics Development Co., Ltd. was recently established with Zhou Tao as its legal representative and a registered capital of 100 million yuan. Its business scope includes: international freight forwarding by sea; Land international freight forwarding agent; Packaging service; Customs declaration business, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by Sinotrans.

Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.Sumeida: Its mechanical and electrical company won two standby power supply projects in succession. According to Sumeida, in the fourth quarter of 2024, Sumeida went all out to sprint the annual target task. Its mechanical and electrical company continued to deepen the domestic and international markets and won two standby power supply projects in succession, namely, the first-phase mechanical and electrical equipment room supporting project of China Mobile Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao (Shaoguan) data center and the standby power supply project with an annual output of 100,000 tons of high-purity silicon-based materials in the Middle East.The strength of the policy is in line with expectations. The New Year's market may have started, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) can be used as a key layout. On December 13th, as of midday, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) fell by 2%, with a turnover of 115 million yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and in terms of rising, Yangtze Power leads the rise; In terms of decline, Zijin Mining led the decline. In the news, from December 11th to 12th, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing, which made a systematic plan for next year's economic work. Regarding the highlights of the meeting, CITIC Jiantou said that the meeting of the Central Economic Work Conference continued the main tone of the Politburo meeting on Monday, and made systematic arrangements for economic work next year. Next year's policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the policy strength and direction are in line with our expectations. With the support of policy expectation and liquidity, the current new year's market has been launched, and it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of shock upward. Focus on industries: non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain, etc. Topics of concern: duality and innovation, supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises. You can use the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) to lay out the core assets with one click.

Zhejiang: By 2027, the output value of the province's industrial machine tool industry will exceed 150 billion yuan. The Office of the Leading Group for High-quality Development of Manufacturing Industry in Zhejiang Province recently issued the Implementation Plan for High-quality Development of Industrial Machine Tool Industry in Zhejiang Province (2025-2027). The "Implementation Plan" proposes that by 2025, the output value of the province's industrial machine tool industry will exceed 120 billion yuan, making it the highland of the national high-end industrial machine tool industry. Positive results have been achieved in the construction of the national advanced manufacturing cluster of East Zhejiang industrial machine tools, with 30 new "little giant" enterprises specializing in manufacturing and 50 new products. Form a number of application scenarios with national promotion value. By 2027, the output value of the province's industrial machine tool industry will exceed 150 billion yuan, the supporting level of key core technologies and key functional components will be greatly improved, and the level of integrated application will be at the forefront of the country.Medvedev: Trump is very talented, but ending the conflict between Russia and Ukraine in one day is a campaign slogan. According to the Tass news agency, on December 12, Medvedev, vice chairman of the Russian Security Council, said that US President-elect Trump's statement that he could end the conflict in Ukraine "within 24 hours" was his slogan to win the presidential election. Medvedev said, "Trump is a talented person. I think this is still the slogan of (Trump) to win the election. " (Reference message)Ocean Shipping Group: In the first 11 months, it achieved sales of 30.6 billion yuan. On December 12, Ocean Shipping Group (03377.HK) released unaudited operation data. In November, the company achieved an accumulated sales of about 3.73 billion yuan. The agreed sales floor area is about 346,300 square meters; The average agreed sales price is 10,800 yuan per square meter. In the first 11 months of this year, COSCO achieved a cumulative agreed sales of about 30.6 billion yuan; The cumulative agreed floor area is about 2,544,100 square meters; The cumulative average agreed sales price is about 12,000 yuan per square meter.